**The weak $13 million domestic opening for DreamWorks Animation’s “Forgotten Island” on September 25 drives the market’s concentration on a 6-7M second weekend.** Despite a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score and strong audience exit polls, the original animated feature fell short of modest $15-17M tracking amid stiff competition from holdovers like “Avengers: Endgame: Encore” and broader struggles for non-franchise animation. Daily holds after opening proved soft, with the film reaching just $16.4 million domestic by October 1, signaling limited word-of-mouth momentum. Traders see the 6-7M and 7-8M brackets as most likely given typical second-weekend drops for similar titles and minimal counterprogramming in early October. Historical patterns for underperforming originals and the film’s steep early decline reinforce this consensus, though positive reviews could support slightly better legs if family audiences respond over the holiday corridor.