Elon Musk's minimal engagement with the specific Pacing the Frontier employee statement drives the 97.7% market-implied odds against signing by September 30. While Musk endorsed Dario Amodei's September 2026 essay on pacing frontier AI capabilities through evaluator access and coordination, he has not committed xAI to the July open letter signed by over 1,200 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. xAI continues aggressive model development without pause signals, consistent with Musk's pattern of prioritizing speed over formal safety pacts. With resolution imminent, only an unexpected last-minute announcement or external pressure could alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given competitive dynamics and xAI's trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2% khả năng
$10,730 KL.
$10,730 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
2% khả năng
$10,730 KL.
$10,730 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's minimal engagement with the specific Pacing the Frontier employee statement drives the 97.7% market-implied odds against signing by September 30. While Musk endorsed Dario Amodei's September 2026 essay on pacing frontier AI capabilities through evaluator access and coordination, he has not committed xAI to the July open letter signed by over 1,200 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. xAI continues aggressive model development without pause signals, consistent with Musk's pattern of prioritizing speed over formal safety pacts. With resolution imminent, only an unexpected last-minute announcement or external pressure could alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given competitive dynamics and xAI's trajectory.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,730Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's minimal engagement with the specific Pacing the Frontier employee statement drives the 97.7% market-implied odds against signing by September 30. While Musk endorsed Dario Amodei's September 2026 essay on pacing frontier AI capabilities through evaluator access and coordination, he has not committed xAI to the July open letter signed by over 1,200 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. xAI continues aggressive model development without pause signals, consistent with Musk's pattern of prioritizing speed over formal safety pacts. With resolution imminent, only an unexpected last-minute announcement or external pressure could alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given competitive dynamics and xAI's trajectory.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$10,730Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Elon Musk's minimal engagement with the specific Pacing the Frontier employee statement drives the 97.7% market-implied odds against signing by September 30. While Musk endorsed Dario Amodei's September 2026 essay on pacing frontier AI capabilities through evaluator access and coordination, he has not committed xAI to the July open letter signed by over 1,200 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. xAI continues aggressive model development without pause signals, consistent with Musk's pattern of prioritizing speed over formal safety pacts. With resolution imminent, only an unexpected last-minute announcement or external pressure could alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given competitive dynamics and xAI's trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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