Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2005. Multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Democratic, consistent with Costa's 52.6% victory in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa with 42.2% and Republican Kyle Kirkland with 26.3%, splitting the opposition vote and underscoring limited Republican consolidation. Costa maintains a substantial fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage, while the Central Valley district's voter registration and recent performance favor the incumbent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus aligns with these structural factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
$27,144 KL.
$27,144 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Costa (D)
93%
Kyle Kirkland (R)
7%
$27,144 KL.
$27,144 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Costa (D)
$14,977 KL.
93%
Kyle Kirkland (R)
$12,168 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2005. Multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Democratic, consistent with Costa's 52.6% victory in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa with 42.2% and Republican Kyle Kirkland with 26.3%, splitting the opposition vote and underscoring limited Republican consolidation. Costa maintains a substantial fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage, while the Central Valley district's voter registration and recent performance favor the incumbent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus aligns with these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2005. Multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Democratic, consistent with Costa's 52.6% victory in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa with 42.2% and Republican Kyle Kirkland with 26.3%, splitting the opposition vote and underscoring limited Republican consolidation. Costa maintains a substantial fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage, while the Central Valley district's voter registration and recent performance favor the incumbent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus aligns with these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2005. Multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Democratic, consistent with Costa's 52.6% victory in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa with 42.2% and Republican Kyle Kirkland with 26.3%, splitting the opposition vote and underscoring limited Republican consolidation. Costa maintains a substantial fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage, while the Central Valley district's voter registration and recent performance favor the incumbent. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant turnout shift could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus aligns with these structural factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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