Democrats hold a slight edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where winning all four would deliver the net gains needed for chamber control given the current 53-47 Republican majority and vice-presidential tiebreaker. Recent polling averages show former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper maintaining a solid lead in the open GOP seat, while Jon Ossoff defends Georgia competitively and challengers in Michigan and Maine remain within striking distance of Republican incumbents or nominees. Candidate recruitment, including strong Democratic fields after Michigan and Maine primaries, combined with suburban and independent voter trends, underpins the 57.5% trader consensus for a sweep. Tight margins across these toss-ups, however, leave room for shifts from late-cycle turnout, national economic signals, or campaign events before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
59% шанс
$22,301 Обс.
$22,301 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
59% шанс
$22,301 Обс.
$22,301 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a slight edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where winning all four would deliver the net gains needed for chamber control given the current 53-47 Republican majority and vice-presidential tiebreaker. Recent polling averages show former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper maintaining a solid lead in the open GOP seat, while Jon Ossoff defends Georgia competitively and challengers in Michigan and Maine remain within striking distance of Republican incumbents or nominees. Candidate recruitment, including strong Democratic fields after Michigan and Maine primaries, combined with suburban and independent voter trends, underpins the 57.5% trader consensus for a sweep. Tight margins across these toss-ups, however, leave room for shifts from late-cycle turnout, national economic signals, or campaign events before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,301Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a slight edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where winning all four would deliver the net gains needed for chamber control given the current 53-47 Republican majority and vice-presidential tiebreaker. Recent polling averages show former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper maintaining a solid lead in the open GOP seat, while Jon Ossoff defends Georgia competitively and challengers in Michigan and Maine remain within striking distance of Republican incumbents or nominees. Candidate recruitment, including strong Democratic fields after Michigan and Maine primaries, combined with suburban and independent voter trends, underpins the 57.5% trader consensus for a sweep. Tight margins across these toss-ups, however, leave room for shifts from late-cycle turnout, national economic signals, or campaign events before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Обсяг
$22,301Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold a slight edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where winning all four would deliver the net gains needed for chamber control given the current 53-47 Republican majority and vice-presidential tiebreaker. Recent polling averages show former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper maintaining a solid lead in the open GOP seat, while Jon Ossoff defends Georgia competitively and challengers in Michigan and Maine remain within striking distance of Republican incumbents or nominees. Candidate recruitment, including strong Democratic fields after Michigan and Maine primaries, combined with suburban and independent voter trends, underpins the 57.5% trader consensus for a sweep. Tight margins across these toss-ups, however, leave room for shifts from late-cycle turnout, national economic signals, or campaign events before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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