Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and the district’s underlying Republican tilt following the 2025 redistricting. The seat, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, carries consistent Solid or Likely Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr., who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, has raised far less and faces structural headwinds in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Political Report. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed Murphy ahead by only three points among likely voters, yet broader indicators and historical performance in similar districts sustain trader expectations of a Republican hold on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$19,249 Обс.
$19,249 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Murphy (R)
86%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
13%
$19,249 Обс.
$19,249 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Murphy (R)
$14,276 Обс.
86%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
$4,972 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and the district’s underlying Republican tilt following the 2025 redistricting. The seat, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, carries consistent Solid or Likely Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr., who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, has raised far less and faces structural headwinds in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Political Report. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed Murphy ahead by only three points among likely voters, yet broader indicators and historical performance in similar districts sustain trader expectations of a Republican hold on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,249Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and the district’s underlying Republican tilt following the 2025 redistricting. The seat, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, carries consistent Solid or Likely Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr., who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, has raised far less and faces structural headwinds in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Political Report. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed Murphy ahead by only three points among likely voters, yet broader indicators and historical performance in similar districts sustain trader expectations of a Republican hold on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,249Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and the district’s underlying Republican tilt following the 2025 redistricting. The seat, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, carries consistent Solid or Likely Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr., who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, has raised far less and faces structural headwinds in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Political Report. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed Murphy ahead by only three points among likely voters, yet broader indicators and historical performance in similar districts sustain trader expectations of a Republican hold on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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