Trever Nehls holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-22 general election because the district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Nehls, twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination with 75.7% in the March primary and benefits from established family name recognition in Fort Bend and surrounding counties. His Democratic opponent, Marquette Greene-Scott, won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift would be required to materially alter the current trader consensus before the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,537 Обс.
$26,537 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Обс.
$26,537 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Обс.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-22 general election because the district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Nehls, twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination with 75.7% in the March primary and benefits from established family name recognition in Fort Bend and surrounding counties. His Democratic opponent, Marquette Greene-Scott, won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift would be required to materially alter the current trader consensus before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,537Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-22 general election because the district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Nehls, twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination with 75.7% in the March primary and benefits from established family name recognition in Fort Bend and surrounding counties. His Democratic opponent, Marquette Greene-Scott, won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift would be required to materially alter the current trader consensus before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,537Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the TX-22 general election because the district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Nehls, twin brother of retiring incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination with 75.7% in the March primary and benefits from established family name recognition in Fort Bend and surrounding counties. His Democratic opponent, Marquette Greene-Scott, won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift would be required to materially alter the current trader consensus before the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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