Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73 percent of the vote in the June 2026 primary, overcoming an intraparty challenge from Alex Balazs after skipping the state GOP convention. North Dakota's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins for the party in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Fedorchak at 95 percent implied probability. She defeated Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer by nearly 40 points in the 2024 general election, a rematch now set for November 3. Fedorchak's fundraising lead and Trump endorsement further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical voting patterns and current ratings from forecasters classify the seat as safe Republican.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,855 Обс.
$59,855 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
4%
$59,855 Обс.
$59,855 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,062 Обс.
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,793 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73 percent of the vote in the June 2026 primary, overcoming an intraparty challenge from Alex Balazs after skipping the state GOP convention. North Dakota's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins for the party in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Fedorchak at 95 percent implied probability. She defeated Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer by nearly 40 points in the 2024 general election, a rematch now set for November 3. Fedorchak's fundraising lead and Trump endorsement further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical voting patterns and current ratings from forecasters classify the seat as safe Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,855Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73 percent of the vote in the June 2026 primary, overcoming an intraparty challenge from Alex Balazs after skipping the state GOP convention. North Dakota's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins for the party in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Fedorchak at 95 percent implied probability. She defeated Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer by nearly 40 points in the 2024 general election, a rematch now set for November 3. Fedorchak's fundraising lead and Trump endorsement further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical voting patterns and current ratings from forecasters classify the seat as safe Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$59,855Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73 percent of the vote in the June 2026 primary, overcoming an intraparty challenge from Alex Balazs after skipping the state GOP convention. North Dakota's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins for the party in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Fedorchak at 95 percent implied probability. She defeated Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer by nearly 40 points in the 2024 general election, a rematch now set for November 3. Fedorchak's fundraising lead and Trump endorsement further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical voting patterns and current ratings from forecasters classify the seat as safe Republican.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання