**Marcy Kaptur’s substantial fundraising edge and history of outperforming the district’s partisan lean anchor trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election.** The longtime Democratic incumbent has raised over $4.3 million with $3.4 million cash on hand, compared with Republican nominee Derek Merrin’s $1.5 million raised and roughly $531,000 on hand. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the ninth district toward Republicans—Trump carried the new lines by roughly ten points in 2024—yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 win and consistent strength in northwest Ohio keep her favored. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and received President Trump’s endorsement, positioning the race as a rematch centered on manufacturing, tariffs, taxes, and Kaptur’s long tenure. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, with early voting and absentee ballots beginning later this month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$31,714 Обс.
$31,714 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
68%
Derek Merrin (R)
31%
$31,714 Обс.
$31,714 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
$5,652 Обс.
68%
Derek Merrin (R)
$26,061 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marcy Kaptur’s substantial fundraising edge and history of outperforming the district’s partisan lean anchor trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election.** The longtime Democratic incumbent has raised over $4.3 million with $3.4 million cash on hand, compared with Republican nominee Derek Merrin’s $1.5 million raised and roughly $531,000 on hand. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the ninth district toward Republicans—Trump carried the new lines by roughly ten points in 2024—yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 win and consistent strength in northwest Ohio keep her favored. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and received President Trump’s endorsement, positioning the race as a rematch centered on manufacturing, tariffs, taxes, and Kaptur’s long tenure. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, with early voting and absentee ballots beginning later this month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,714Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marcy Kaptur’s substantial fundraising edge and history of outperforming the district’s partisan lean anchor trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election.** The longtime Democratic incumbent has raised over $4.3 million with $3.4 million cash on hand, compared with Republican nominee Derek Merrin’s $1.5 million raised and roughly $531,000 on hand. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the ninth district toward Republicans—Trump carried the new lines by roughly ten points in 2024—yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 win and consistent strength in northwest Ohio keep her favored. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and received President Trump’s endorsement, positioning the race as a rematch centered on manufacturing, tariffs, taxes, and Kaptur’s long tenure. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, with early voting and absentee ballots beginning later this month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,714Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Marcy Kaptur’s substantial fundraising edge and history of outperforming the district’s partisan lean anchor trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election.** The longtime Democratic incumbent has raised over $4.3 million with $3.4 million cash on hand, compared with Republican nominee Derek Merrin’s $1.5 million raised and roughly $531,000 on hand. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the ninth district toward Republicans—Trump carried the new lines by roughly ten points in 2024—yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 win and consistent strength in northwest Ohio keep her favored. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and received President Trump’s endorsement, positioning the race as a rematch centered on manufacturing, tariffs, taxes, and Kaptur’s long tenure. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, with early voting and absentee ballots beginning later this month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання