Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his decisive June primary win and consistent outperformance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district. Suozzi defeated the same Republican nominee, former state Assembly member Mike LiPetri, by roughly four points in 2024 despite a narrow Trump victory at the top of the ticket in the area. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, citing Suozzi’s incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and established bipartisan appeal in a swing district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late national political developments, or major campaign events in the final weeks before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$26,497 Обс.
$26,497 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,497 Обс.
$26,497 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 Обс.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,855 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his decisive June primary win and consistent outperformance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district. Suozzi defeated the same Republican nominee, former state Assembly member Mike LiPetri, by roughly four points in 2024 despite a narrow Trump victory at the top of the ticket in the area. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, citing Suozzi’s incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and established bipartisan appeal in a swing district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late national political developments, or major campaign events in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,497Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his decisive June primary win and consistent outperformance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district. Suozzi defeated the same Republican nominee, former state Assembly member Mike LiPetri, by roughly four points in 2024 despite a narrow Trump victory at the top of the ticket in the area. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, citing Suozzi’s incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and established bipartisan appeal in a swing district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late national political developments, or major campaign events in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,497Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his decisive June primary win and consistent outperformance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district. Suozzi defeated the same Republican nominee, former state Assembly member Mike LiPetri, by roughly four points in 2024 despite a narrow Trump victory at the top of the ticket in the area. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, citing Suozzi’s incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and established bipartisan appeal in a swing district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late national political developments, or major campaign events in the final weeks before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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