Chris Smith maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt across Monmouth and Ocean counties, where the party regularly secures margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decades-long incumbency since 1981 and strong name recognition. Rachel Peace secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary but faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant scandal, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
$19,141 Обс.
$19,141 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
5%
$19,141 Обс.
$19,141 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
$6,168 Обс.
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
$12,973 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt across Monmouth and Ocean counties, where the party regularly secures margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decades-long incumbency since 1981 and strong name recognition. Rachel Peace secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary but faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant scandal, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,141Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt across Monmouth and Ocean counties, where the party regularly secures margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decades-long incumbency since 1981 and strong name recognition. Rachel Peace secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary but faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant scandal, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,141Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Smith maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt across Monmouth and Ocean counties, where the party regularly secures margins exceeding 30 points, combined with his decades-long incumbency since 1981 and strong name recognition. Rachel Peace secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary but faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant scandal, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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