Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has anchored trader attention on the immediate mid-September window, following Grok 4.6’s August 12 launch. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on SpaceX engineering data, a claimed differentiator for real-world tasks, though xAI has yet to publish an official model card, API identifier, or benchmarks. Historical slippage in prior Grok timelines and the absence of confirmed deployment details explain why probabilities cluster tightly across September 15–18 rather than locking onto the initial September 12 target. Any imminent xAI announcement or rollout confirmation remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?
September 18 42%
September 15 39.6%
September 17 39.4%
September 16 37.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
1%
September 11
25%
September 12
36%
September 13
1%
September 14
35%
September 15
40%
September 16
37%
September 17
39%
September 18
42%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
3%
September 23
6%
September 24
3%
September 25
1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
3%
September 29
22%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
7%
September 18 42%
September 15 39.6%
September 17 39.4%
September 16 37.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
$202 Обс.
1%
September 11
$308 Обс.
25%
September 12
$550 Обс.
36%
September 13
$322 Обс.
1%
September 14
$205 Обс.
35%
September 15
$257 Обс.
40%
September 16
$215 Обс.
37%
September 17
$215 Обс.
39%
September 18
$411 Обс.
42%
September 19
$530 Обс.
1%
September 20
$505 Обс.
1%
September 21
$505 Обс.
1%
September 22
$345 Обс.
3%
September 23
$572 Обс.
6%
September 24
$345 Обс.
3%
September 25
$505 Обс.
1%
September 26
$505 Обс.
<1%
September 27
$505 Обс.
<1%
September 28
$379 Обс.
3%
September 29
$379 Обс.
22%
September 30
$505 Обс.
1%
No release by September 30
$345 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has anchored trader attention on the immediate mid-September window, following Grok 4.6’s August 12 launch. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on SpaceX engineering data, a claimed differentiator for real-world tasks, though xAI has yet to publish an official model card, API identifier, or benchmarks. Historical slippage in prior Grok timelines and the absence of confirmed deployment details explain why probabilities cluster tightly across September 15–18 rather than locking onto the initial September 12 target. Any imminent xAI announcement or rollout confirmation remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,777Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has anchored trader attention on the immediate mid-September window, following Grok 4.6’s August 12 launch. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on SpaceX engineering data, a claimed differentiator for real-world tasks, though xAI has yet to publish an official model card, API identifier, or benchmarks. Historical slippage in prior Grok timelines and the absence of confirmed deployment details explain why probabilities cluster tightly across September 15–18 rather than locking onto the initial September 12 target. Any imminent xAI announcement or rollout confirmation remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,777Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has anchored trader attention on the immediate mid-September window, following Grok 4.6’s August 12 launch. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on SpaceX engineering data, a claimed differentiator for real-world tasks, though xAI has yet to publish an official model card, API identifier, or benchmarks. Historical slippage in prior Grok timelines and the absence of confirmed deployment details explain why probabilities cluster tightly across September 15–18 rather than locking onto the initial September 12 target. Any imminent xAI announcement or rollout confirmation remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання