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Політика·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Політика·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 52%

Stefan Evers 27%

Werner Graf 10.8%

Steffen Krach 3.9%

Polymarket

$106,658 Обс.

Elif Eralp 52%

Stefan Evers 27%

Werner Graf 10.8%

Steffen Krach 3.9%

Polymarket

$106,658 Обс.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$56,790 Обс.

52%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$31,094 Обс.

27%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$13,361 Обс.

11%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$2,688 Обс.

4%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,725 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$106,658
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$106,658
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

90%
icon for Чи здобуде Ліві найбільше місць на виборах до парламенту землі Берлін у 2026 році?

Чи здобуде Ліві найбільше місць на виборах до парламенту землі Берлін у 2026 році?

53%
Так
icon for Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

31%
Over

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Elif Eralp» з 52%, далі «Stefan Evers» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» згенерував $106.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» — «Elif Eralp» з 52%. Наступний — «Stefan Evers» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.