Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race due to post-redistricting boundaries that created a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in primary results where Bera advanced with 34 percent to Republican Robb Tucker's 30 percent. Bera's long tenure, established fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party organizations reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Factors that could still shift outcomes before Election Day include major scandals involving the frontrunner, significant health developments, or a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in this battleground-adjacent district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$43,504 Обс.
$43,504 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ami Bera (D)
95%
Robb Tucker (R)
3%
$43,504 Обс.
$43,504 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ami Bera (D)
$25,885 Обс.
95%
Robb Tucker (R)
$17,619 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race due to post-redistricting boundaries that created a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in primary results where Bera advanced with 34 percent to Republican Robb Tucker's 30 percent. Bera's long tenure, established fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party organizations reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Factors that could still shift outcomes before Election Day include major scandals involving the frontrunner, significant health developments, or a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in this battleground-adjacent district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,504Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race due to post-redistricting boundaries that created a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in primary results where Bera advanced with 34 percent to Republican Robb Tucker's 30 percent. Bera's long tenure, established fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party organizations reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Factors that could still shift outcomes before Election Day include major scandals involving the frontrunner, significant health developments, or a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in this battleground-adjacent district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,504Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race due to post-redistricting boundaries that created a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in primary results where Bera advanced with 34 percent to Republican Robb Tucker's 30 percent. Bera's long tenure, established fundraising edge, and endorsements from state party organizations reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Factors that could still shift outcomes before Election Day include major scandals involving the frontrunner, significant health developments, or a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in this battleground-adjacent district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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