The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$61,261 Обс.
$61,261 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
1%
$61,261 Обс.
$61,261 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$34,835 Обс.
99%
Republican Party
$26,426 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$61,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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