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Політика·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Політика·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 77%

Monika Piątkowska 16%

Michał Drewnicki 5.3%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.0%

Polymarket

$26,853 Обс.

Łukasz Gibała 77%

Monika Piątkowska 16%

Michał Drewnicki 5.3%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.0%

Polymarket

$26,853 Обс.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$13,990 Обс.

77%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$3,492 Обс.

16%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$843 Обс.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$1,081 Обс.

3%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$629 Обс.

1%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$470 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$845 Обс.

<1%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$522 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$605 Обс.

<1%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$658 Обс.

<1%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$483 Обс.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$514 Обс.

<1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$577 Обс.

<1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$525 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$602 Обс.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$497 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$520 Обс.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral race at 77% implied probability, reflecting recent polling that places him well ahead in the first round on September 27. A mid-September OGB survey showed him at 39% support versus 23-24% for Monika Piątkowska, the KO- and PSL-backed candidate, with Michał Drewnicki of PiS around 15% and others in single digits. In projected runoffs, Gibała maintains a wide margin. His position stems from strong local backing for the independent “Kraków for Residents” committee after the May recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski over fiscal and policy grievances. Fragmented opposition and undecided voters near 24% sustain the gap, though the September 27 first-round threshold and potential October 11 runoff remain decisive.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Обсяг
$26,853
Дата завершення
Sep 27, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral race at 77% implied probability, reflecting recent polling that places him well ahead in the first round on September 27. A mid-September OGB survey showed him at 39% support versus 23-24% for Monika Piątkowska, the KO- and PSL-backed candidate, with Michał Drewnicki of PiS around 15% and others in single digits. In projected runoffs, Gibała maintains a wide margin. His position stems from strong local backing for the independent “Kraków for Residents” committee after the May recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski over fiscal and policy grievances. Fragmented opposition and undecided voters near 24% sustain the gap, though the September 27 first-round threshold and potential October 11 runoff remain decisive.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Обсяг
$26,853
Дата завершення
Sep 27, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Łukasz Gibała» з 77%, далі «Monika Piątkowska» з 17%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» згенерував $26.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» — «Łukasz Gibała» з 77%. Наступний — «Monika Piątkowska» з 17%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Kraków Mayoral Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.