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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Політика·Мер

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Політика·Мер

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$2,305 Обс.

39%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$1,388 Обс.

19%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$1,066 Обс.

16%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$1,315 Обс.

10%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$309 Обс.

10%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$1,057 Обс.

2%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$286 Обс.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest for Hobart Lord Mayor, following incumbent Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Nominations opened only recently, with John Kelly's September entry adding to confirmed candidates including Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta. Single transferable voting in this multi-candidate race spreads support across preference flows, keeping implied probabilities tightly distributed and sensitive to name recognition from the 2022 results plus early positioning on issues such as transport, rates, and council governance. Further candidate announcements and formal preference arrangements before the September 21 close could shift trader consensus.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Обсяг
$7,725
Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest for Hobart Lord Mayor, following incumbent Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Nominations opened only recently, with John Kelly's September entry adding to confirmed candidates including Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta. Single transferable voting in this multi-candidate race spreads support across preference flows, keeping implied probabilities tightly distributed and sensitive to name recognition from the 2022 results plus early positioning on issues such as transport, rates, and council governance. Further candidate announcements and formal preference arrangements before the September 21 close could shift trader consensus.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Обсяг
$7,725
Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Kelly» з 39%, далі «Ryan Posselt» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 3, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner» — «John Kelly» з 39%. Наступний — «Ryan Posselt» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.