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icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Фінанси·Японія

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Фінанси·Японія

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

3.0%+ 67.3%

2.8-3.0% 17.4%

2.4-2.6% 6.9%

2.6-2.8% 3.1%

Polymarket

$29,873 Обс.

3.0%+ 67.3%

2.8-3.0% 17.4%

2.4-2.6% 6.9%

2.6-2.8% 3.1%

Polymarket

$29,873 Обс.

<2.0%

$1,370 Обс.

1%

2.0-2.2%

$1,701 Обс.

2%

2.2-2.4%

$1,263 Обс.

<1%

2.4-2.6%

$2,562 Обс.

7%

2.6-2.8%

$2,556 Обс.

3%

2.8-3.0%

$8,716 Обс.

17%

3.0%+

$11,705 Обс.

67%

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Recent Bank of Japan policy normalization, including the September 18, 2026 rate hike to 1.25% by a 7-2 vote, underpins the 67.3% market-implied probability for Japan 10-year yields ending 2026 above 3.0%. Persistent upside risks to inflation from elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand have prompted faster tightening, with underlying CPI approaching or exceeding the 2% target in the second half of fiscal 2026. Yields have climbed to approximately 2.98% amid these pressures and fiscal concerns, though core inflation eased to 1.7% in August. Traders price in continued accommodation adjustments through year-end, tempered by dissenters signaling a potentially measured pace ahead of upcoming data releases.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Обсяг
$29,873
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Recent Bank of Japan policy normalization, including the September 18, 2026 rate hike to 1.25% by a 7-2 vote, underpins the 67.3% market-implied probability for Japan 10-year yields ending 2026 above 3.0%. Persistent upside risks to inflation from elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand have prompted faster tightening, with underlying CPI approaching or exceeding the 2% target in the second half of fiscal 2026. Yields have climbed to approximately 2.98% amid these pressures and fiscal concerns, though core inflation eased to 1.7% in August. Traders price in continued accommodation adjustments through year-end, tempered by dissenters signaling a potentially measured pace ahead of upcoming data releases.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Обсяг
$29,873
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?

73%
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?

74%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «3.0%+» з 67%, далі «2.8-3.0%» з 17%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026» згенерував $29.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 10, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026» — «3.0%+» з 67%. Наступний — «2.8-3.0%» з 17%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.