**Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction.** No Rome Statute state party has enforced it during his travels, and the U.S.—not a member—has imposed sanctions on ICC personnel while President Trump explicitly stated Netanyahu will not be detained on American soil. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani withdrew an earlier pledge to arrest him during the September 2026 UN General Assembly, citing lack of local authority, as Netanyahu plans a brief visit with a New Jersey arrival and heightened security. Domestically, his ongoing corruption trial continues without custody after completing testimony in June 2026. These factors, combined with Turkey’s separate Interpol red notice efforts, keep trader-implied probabilities low ahead of the UN appearance and year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$27,370 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
<1%
December 31
7%
$27,370 Обс.
September 30
$20,617 Обс.
<1%
December 31
$6,753 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction.** No Rome Statute state party has enforced it during his travels, and the U.S.—not a member—has imposed sanctions on ICC personnel while President Trump explicitly stated Netanyahu will not be detained on American soil. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani withdrew an earlier pledge to arrest him during the September 2026 UN General Assembly, citing lack of local authority, as Netanyahu plans a brief visit with a New Jersey arrival and heightened security. Domestically, his ongoing corruption trial continues without custody after completing testimony in June 2026. These factors, combined with Turkey’s separate Interpol red notice efforts, keep trader-implied probabilities low ahead of the UN appearance and year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,370Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction.** No Rome Statute state party has enforced it during his travels, and the U.S.—not a member—has imposed sanctions on ICC personnel while President Trump explicitly stated Netanyahu will not be detained on American soil. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani withdrew an earlier pledge to arrest him during the September 2026 UN General Assembly, citing lack of local authority, as Netanyahu plans a brief visit with a New Jersey arrival and heightened security. Domestically, his ongoing corruption trial continues without custody after completing testimony in June 2026. These factors, combined with Turkey’s separate Interpol red notice efforts, keep trader-implied probabilities low ahead of the UN appearance and year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$27,370Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction.** No Rome Statute state party has enforced it during his travels, and the U.S.—not a member—has imposed sanctions on ICC personnel while President Trump explicitly stated Netanyahu will not be detained on American soil. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani withdrew an earlier pledge to arrest him during the September 2026 UN General Assembly, citing lack of local authority, as Netanyahu plans a brief visit with a New Jersey arrival and heightened security. Domestically, his ongoing corruption trial continues without custody after completing testimony in June 2026. These factors, combined with Turkey’s separate Interpol red notice efforts, keep trader-implied probabilities low ahead of the UN appearance and year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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