Recent consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and ICON model runs points to a maximum of 21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and negligible precipitation, placing it slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.4°C. This forecast stability underpins the 56% implied probability for 21°C, with narrower support for 20°C or 22°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and low precipitation chances limit convective variability that could alter the daily maximum. Final resolution awaits official DWD station observations, with the next model cycles offering limited scope for revision before the market closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 18?
21°C 56%
20°C 21%
22°C 21%
23°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
21%
21°C
56%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 56%
20°C 21%
22°C 21%
23°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$776 Обс.
1%
18°C
$135 Обс.
2%
19°C
$248 Обс.
3%
20°C
$1,602 Обс.
21%
21°C
$928 Обс.
56%
22°C
$509 Обс.
21%
23°C
$411 Обс.
3%
24°C
$351 Обс.
2%
25°C
$475 Обс.
1%
26°C
$159 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$159 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and ICON model runs points to a maximum of 21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and negligible precipitation, placing it slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.4°C. This forecast stability underpins the 56% implied probability for 21°C, with narrower support for 20°C or 22°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and low precipitation chances limit convective variability that could alter the daily maximum. Final resolution awaits official DWD station observations, with the next model cycles offering limited scope for revision before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,752Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and ICON model runs points to a maximum of 21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and negligible precipitation, placing it slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.4°C. This forecast stability underpins the 56% implied probability for 21°C, with narrower support for 20°C or 22°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and low precipitation chances limit convective variability that could alter the daily maximum. Final resolution awaits official DWD station observations, with the next model cycles offering limited scope for revision before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,752Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and ICON model runs points to a maximum of 21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and negligible precipitation, placing it slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.4°C. This forecast stability underpins the 56% implied probability for 21°C, with narrower support for 20°C or 22°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and low precipitation chances limit convective variability that could alter the daily maximum. Final resolution awaits official DWD station observations, with the next model cycles offering limited scope for revision before the market closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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