Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will experience another day of strong high pressure and clear to mostly sunny skies on September 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s. Light southeast winds and limited moisture should allow efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or convective cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 96–101 °F reflects model consensus on peak values near 97–99 °F, with small differences arising from subtle variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, and any thin high clouds that could trim the afternoon maximum by a degree or two. Historical mid-September climatology for central Texas places average highs near 90 °F, so the current ridge-driven pattern represents above-normal warmth that traders are pricing with moderate dispersion across the 96–101 °F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 19?
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
4%
106°F or higher
4%
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
3%
90-91°F
$17 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$36 Обс.
9%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
16%
96-97°F
$6 Обс.
32%
98-99°F
$64 Обс.
33%
100-101°F
$357 Обс.
8%
102-103°F
$7 Обс.
9%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
4%
106°F or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will experience another day of strong high pressure and clear to mostly sunny skies on September 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s. Light southeast winds and limited moisture should allow efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or convective cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 96–101 °F reflects model consensus on peak values near 97–99 °F, with small differences arising from subtle variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, and any thin high clouds that could trim the afternoon maximum by a degree or two. Historical mid-September climatology for central Texas places average highs near 90 °F, so the current ridge-driven pattern represents above-normal warmth that traders are pricing with moderate dispersion across the 96–101 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$487Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will experience another day of strong high pressure and clear to mostly sunny skies on September 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s. Light southeast winds and limited moisture should allow efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or convective cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 96–101 °F reflects model consensus on peak values near 97–99 °F, with small differences arising from subtle variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, and any thin high clouds that could trim the afternoon maximum by a degree or two. Historical mid-September climatology for central Texas places average highs near 90 °F, so the current ridge-driven pattern represents above-normal warmth that traders are pricing with moderate dispersion across the 96–101 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$487Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will experience another day of strong high pressure and clear to mostly sunny skies on September 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s. Light southeast winds and limited moisture should allow efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or convective cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 96–101 °F reflects model consensus on peak values near 97–99 °F, with small differences arising from subtle variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, and any thin high clouds that could trim the afternoon maximum by a degree or two. Historical mid-September climatology for central Texas places average highs near 90 °F, so the current ridge-driven pattern represents above-normal warmth that traders are pricing with moderate dispersion across the 96–101 °F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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