Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department indicate lingering monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover over Lucknow on September 25, 2026, keeping daytime maxima tightly clustered near 24–26 °C. Scattered showers or persistent low-level humidity suppress surface heating and limit solar insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, creating the narrow probability distribution reflected in current market-implied odds. Historical September climatology for the region places average daily maxima near 32 °C, so the cooler outlook stems primarily from active late-season monsoon dynamics rather than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and satellite observations of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 25?
25°C 41%
24°C 32%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
32%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 32%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
32%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department indicate lingering monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover over Lucknow on September 25, 2026, keeping daytime maxima tightly clustered near 24–26 °C. Scattered showers or persistent low-level humidity suppress surface heating and limit solar insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, creating the narrow probability distribution reflected in current market-implied odds. Historical September climatology for the region places average daily maxima near 32 °C, so the cooler outlook stems primarily from active late-season monsoon dynamics rather than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and satellite observations of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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