Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a daily high in Chengdu on September 22 in the mid-20s°C, with showers and extensive cloud cover expected to suppress peak heating. Light southerly winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and precipitation chances of 50-70% during daytime hours are the main factors narrowing outcomes around 25-27°C, consistent with September climatology near 25°C. Slight differences in rainfall timing across model runs create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with drier scenarios supporting 27-28°C and steadier rain favoring 24-25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
28°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
28°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$1,140 Обс.
2%
23°C
$311 Обс.
3%
24°C
$1,486 Обс.
13%
25°C
$776 Обс.
19%
26°C
$331 Обс.
26%
27°C
$309 Обс.
22%
28°C
$697 Обс.
17%
29°C
$130 Обс.
4%
30°C
$15 Обс.
1%
31°C
$555 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$111 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a daily high in Chengdu on September 22 in the mid-20s°C, with showers and extensive cloud cover expected to suppress peak heating. Light southerly winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and precipitation chances of 50-70% during daytime hours are the main factors narrowing outcomes around 25-27°C, consistent with September climatology near 25°C. Slight differences in rainfall timing across model runs create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with drier scenarios supporting 27-28°C and steadier rain favoring 24-25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,848Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a daily high in Chengdu on September 22 in the mid-20s°C, with showers and extensive cloud cover expected to suppress peak heating. Light southerly winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and precipitation chances of 50-70% during daytime hours are the main factors narrowing outcomes around 25-27°C, consistent with September climatology near 25°C. Slight differences in rainfall timing across model runs create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with drier scenarios supporting 27-28°C and steadier rain favoring 24-25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,848Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a daily high in Chengdu on September 22 in the mid-20s°C, with showers and extensive cloud cover expected to suppress peak heating. Light southerly winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and precipitation chances of 50-70% during daytime hours are the main factors narrowing outcomes around 25-27°C, consistent with September climatology near 25°C. Slight differences in rainfall timing across model runs create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with drier scenarios supporting 27-28°C and steadier rain favoring 24-25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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