**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Обс.
$76,218 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Обс.
$76,218 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$253 Обс.
No
22°C
$252 Обс.
No
23°C
$253 Обс.
No
24°C
$684 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,990 Обс.
No
26°C
$23,756 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$13,699 Обс.
No
28°C
$14,341 Обс.
No
29°C
$10,160 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,895 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$3,935 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$76,218Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$76,218Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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