Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 97–99°F for Austin on September 18 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This setup reflects typical late-summer subsidence and above-average seasonal temperatures, with dew points supporting heat indices near 103°F. The 62.5% market weighting on 98–99°F and 24% on 96–97°F closely tracks these official projections, while lower odds for 100°F+ or sub-96°F reflect limited upside from any unexpected warming or downside from minor moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 18?
98-99°F 63%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
63%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 63%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
$174 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$325 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$21 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$21 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$16 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$138 Обс.
24%
98-99°F
$611 Обс.
63%
100-101°F
$703 Обс.
13%
102-103°F
$66 Обс.
2%
104-105°F
$121 Обс.
1%
106°F or higher
$188 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 97–99°F for Austin on September 18 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This setup reflects typical late-summer subsidence and above-average seasonal temperatures, with dew points supporting heat indices near 103°F. The 62.5% market weighting on 98–99°F and 24% on 96–97°F closely tracks these official projections, while lower odds for 100°F+ or sub-96°F reflect limited upside from any unexpected warming or downside from minor moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,383Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 97–99°F for Austin on September 18 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This setup reflects typical late-summer subsidence and above-average seasonal temperatures, with dew points supporting heat indices near 103°F. The 62.5% market weighting on 98–99°F and 24% on 96–97°F closely tracks these official projections, while lower odds for 100°F+ or sub-96°F reflect limited upside from any unexpected warming or downside from minor moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,383Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 97–99°F for Austin on September 18 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This setup reflects typical late-summer subsidence and above-average seasonal temperatures, with dew points supporting heat indices near 103°F. The 62.5% market weighting on 98–99°F and 24% on 96–97°F closely tracks these official projections, while lower odds for 100°F+ or sub-96°F reflect limited upside from any unexpected warming or downside from minor moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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