SpaceX has shifted the first Starship upper-stage tower catch from Flight 14 to Flight 15 after Flight 13’s precise Indian Ocean splashdown validated landing geometry and control margins. Recent September tests at Pad 2 lifted Ship 42 into Mechazilla’s chopsticks, exercising attachment points, pushers, and Ship Quick Disconnect alignment without stabilizer arms to simulate post-catch handling. Flight 14, now targeting mid-to-late September with a Starlink V3 payload, will use controlled ocean splashdowns for both vehicles to prioritize payload delivery. Flight 15 hardware is already undergoing catch-specific rehearsals on the upgraded Pad 2 tower, which features shortened arms and electromechanical actuators optimized for the faster-returning Ship. Regulatory approval timelines and final static-fire data remain the key near-term swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
September 30, 2026
6%
October 31, 2026
51%
$1,995 Обс.
September 30, 2026
6%
October 31, 2026
51%
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...SpaceX has shifted the first Starship upper-stage tower catch from Flight 14 to Flight 15 after Flight 13’s precise Indian Ocean splashdown validated landing geometry and control margins. Recent September tests at Pad 2 lifted Ship 42 into Mechazilla’s chopsticks, exercising attachment points, pushers, and Ship Quick Disconnect alignment without stabilizer arms to simulate post-catch handling. Flight 14, now targeting mid-to-late September with a Starlink V3 payload, will use controlled ocean splashdowns for both vehicles to prioritize payload delivery. Flight 15 hardware is already undergoing catch-specific rehearsals on the upgraded Pad 2 tower, which features shortened arms and electromechanical actuators optimized for the faster-returning Ship. Regulatory approval timelines and final static-fire data remain the key near-term swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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