Trump’s second term has featured ongoing but unsuccessful Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one tabled in the House in mid-September 2026 over immigration enforcement and constitutional concerns. Speculation about the 25th Amendment has surfaced in partisan commentary and media discussions tied to policy disputes and midterm prospects, yet these remain confined to opposition voices without Cabinet or bipartisan backing. With Republicans holding the Senate and no evidence of incapacity or resignation pressure, removal before 2027 would require either a successful Senate conviction by two-thirds or an unprecedented Cabinet consensus—both structurally improbable in the current environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% against departure reflects these high institutional barriers and the absence of triggering events within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
6% tsansa
$11,769,981 Vol.
$11,769,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oo
6% tsansa
$11,769,981 Vol.
$11,769,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second term has featured ongoing but unsuccessful Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one tabled in the House in mid-September 2026 over immigration enforcement and constitutional concerns. Speculation about the 25th Amendment has surfaced in partisan commentary and media discussions tied to policy disputes and midterm prospects, yet these remain confined to opposition voices without Cabinet or bipartisan backing. With Republicans holding the Senate and no evidence of incapacity or resignation pressure, removal before 2027 would require either a successful Senate conviction by two-thirds or an unprecedented Cabinet consensus—both structurally improbable in the current environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% against departure reflects these high institutional barriers and the absence of triggering events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,769,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second term has featured ongoing but unsuccessful Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one tabled in the House in mid-September 2026 over immigration enforcement and constitutional concerns. Speculation about the 25th Amendment has surfaced in partisan commentary and media discussions tied to policy disputes and midterm prospects, yet these remain confined to opposition voices without Cabinet or bipartisan backing. With Republicans holding the Senate and no evidence of incapacity or resignation pressure, removal before 2027 would require either a successful Senate conviction by two-thirds or an unprecedented Cabinet consensus—both structurally improbable in the current environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% against departure reflects these high institutional barriers and the absence of triggering events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,769,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term has featured ongoing but unsuccessful Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one tabled in the House in mid-September 2026 over immigration enforcement and constitutional concerns. Speculation about the 25th Amendment has surfaced in partisan commentary and media discussions tied to policy disputes and midterm prospects, yet these remain confined to opposition voices without Cabinet or bipartisan backing. With Republicans holding the Senate and no evidence of incapacity or resignation pressure, removal before 2027 would require either a successful Senate conviction by two-thirds or an unprecedented Cabinet consensus—both structurally improbable in the current environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% against departure reflects these high institutional barriers and the absence of triggering events within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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