Republican congressional majorities continue to block removal pathways, as shown by the House tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on September 15, 2026, by a 232-147 vote amid partisan splits and midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite health commentary around the 80-year-old president and ongoing policy disputes, including immigration enforcement and the Iran conflict. Traders reflect these institutional barriers and the lack of near-term catalysts capable of forcing an exit before December 31, 2026, pricing the implied probability of departure in the low single digits. Midterm outcomes could alter dynamics after 2026 but fall outside the current resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
6% tsansa
$11,769,981 Vol.
$11,769,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oo
6% tsansa
$11,769,981 Vol.
$11,769,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities continue to block removal pathways, as shown by the House tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on September 15, 2026, by a 232-147 vote amid partisan splits and midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite health commentary around the 80-year-old president and ongoing policy disputes, including immigration enforcement and the Iran conflict. Traders reflect these institutional barriers and the lack of near-term catalysts capable of forcing an exit before December 31, 2026, pricing the implied probability of departure in the low single digits. Midterm outcomes could alter dynamics after 2026 but fall outside the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,769,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities continue to block removal pathways, as shown by the House tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on September 15, 2026, by a 232-147 vote amid partisan splits and midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite health commentary around the 80-year-old president and ongoing policy disputes, including immigration enforcement and the Iran conflict. Traders reflect these institutional barriers and the lack of near-term catalysts capable of forcing an exit before December 31, 2026, pricing the implied probability of departure in the low single digits. Midterm outcomes could alter dynamics after 2026 but fall outside the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,769,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican congressional majorities continue to block removal pathways, as shown by the House tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on September 15, 2026, by a 232-147 vote amid partisan splits and midterm positioning. No sustained 25th Amendment process or resignation signals have emerged despite health commentary around the 80-year-old president and ongoing policy disputes, including immigration enforcement and the Iran conflict. Traders reflect these institutional barriers and the lack of near-term catalysts capable of forcing an exit before December 31, 2026, pricing the implied probability of departure in the low single digits. Midterm outcomes could alter dynamics after 2026 but fall outside the current resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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