All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDems sweep 44%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 14.9%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
44%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
15%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
11%
Reps sweep
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
28%
Dems sweep 44%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 14.9%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$1,338 Vol.
44%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
$116 Vol.
15%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
$169 Vol.
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$157 Vol.
11%
Reps sweep
$131 Vol.
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$164 Vol.
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
$142 Vol.
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$119 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$2,336Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,336Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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