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Politika·Halalan

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

icon for Kansas Senate and Governor Combo
Politika·Halalan

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps sweep 68%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 14%

Dems sweep 11%

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Reps sweep 68%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 14%

Dems sweep 11%

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Reps sweep

$3,022 Vol.

68%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate

$1,474 Vol.

14%

Dems sweep

$257 Vol.

11%

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate

$201 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Republican candidates hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 67.5% trader consensus on a Republican sweep.** Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state Donald Trump carried by roughly 16 points in 2024; forecasts project Marshall at 54-55% with an 89% implied win probability, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. The open gubernatorial contest pits Democrat Cindy Holscher against Republican Ty Masterson after primaries on August 4 narrowed the fields, with the most recent poll showing Holscher at 47% and Masterson at 46%. **The open seat creates the main uncertainty for the governor’s race, rated Lean or Tilt Republican by forecasters, which explains the 13.5% odds on a Democratic governor win paired with a Republican Senate hold.** Historical patterns of party alternation in the governor’s office and Holscher’s suburban Kansas City base keep that split plausible, though state fundamentals and the national environment favor Republicans overall. The low 3.1% on a Republican governor with a Democratic Senate win reflects the structural barriers in the Senate contest. Limited public polling since the primaries and the two-month window to November 3 leave room for late shifts, but current trader pricing aligns with Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal races.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,953
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Republican candidates hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 67.5% trader consensus on a Republican sweep.** Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state Donald Trump carried by roughly 16 points in 2024; forecasts project Marshall at 54-55% with an 89% implied win probability, consistent with no Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. The open gubernatorial contest pits Democrat Cindy Holscher against Republican Ty Masterson after primaries on August 4 narrowed the fields, with the most recent poll showing Holscher at 47% and Masterson at 46%. **The open seat creates the main uncertainty for the governor’s race, rated Lean or Tilt Republican by forecasters, which explains the 13.5% odds on a Democratic governor win paired with a Republican Senate hold.** Historical patterns of party alternation in the governor’s office and Holscher’s suburban Kansas City base keep that split plausible, though state fundamentals and the national environment favor Republicans overall. The low 3.1% on a Republican governor with a Democratic Senate win reflects the structural barriers in the Senate contest. Limited public polling since the primaries and the two-month window to November 3 leave room for late shifts, but current trader pricing aligns with Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal races.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,953
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kansas Senate and Governor Combo" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Reps sweep" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Kansas Senate and Governor Combo" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 19, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Kansas Senate and Governor Combo," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kansas Senate and Governor Combo" ay "Reps sweep" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kansas Senate and Governor Combo" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.