Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees Jocelyn Benson holding a roughly 7-point lead in the open gubernatorial race against Republican John James, while Abdul El-Sayed maintains a narrow 2-point edge over Mike Rogers in the open Senate contest. These results, drawn from multiple September surveys of likely voters, position a Democratic sweep as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Both seats became open after term limits and retirement, with primaries completed in August. Benson benefits from higher name recognition as secretary of state, while the Senate race remains closer amid mixed national conditions. The low probability assigned to a Republican sweep reflects the consistent Democratic advantages across recent data, though late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the combinations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDems sweep 63%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 19%
Reps sweep 8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.2%
$12,476 Vol.
$12,476 Vol.
Dems sweep
63%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
19%
Reps sweep
8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
1%
Dems sweep 63%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 19%
Reps sweep 8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.2%
$12,476 Vol.
$12,476 Vol.
Dems sweep
63%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
19%
Reps sweep
8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
1%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees Jocelyn Benson holding a roughly 7-point lead in the open gubernatorial race against Republican John James, while Abdul El-Sayed maintains a narrow 2-point edge over Mike Rogers in the open Senate contest. These results, drawn from multiple September surveys of likely voters, position a Democratic sweep as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Both seats became open after term limits and retirement, with primaries completed in August. Benson benefits from higher name recognition as secretary of state, while the Senate race remains closer amid mixed national conditions. The low probability assigned to a Republican sweep reflects the consistent Democratic advantages across recent data, though late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the combinations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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