**Strong opening weekend performance and typical sophomore-frame dynamics are shaping the wide dispersion in second-weekend projections for Primetime.** The A24 true-crime thriller starring Robert Pattinson debuted to a robust $19.2 million, A24’s third-best ever, fueled by heavy Gen Z turnout (69% under 30) and Pattinson’s draw despite a mixed “B” CinemaScore reflecting the unsettling subject matter. Traders are weighing hold percentages against competition from holdovers like the Resident Evil reboot and re-releases, plus the film’s R-rated content and front-loaded appeal. A 40-55% drop would land in the favored 7-9 million or 9-11 million brackets, while stronger word-of-mouth or premium-screen retention could push toward double digits; steeper declines tied to audience fatigue or screen competition explain the sizable probability on sub-7 million outcomes. The October 2-4 frame will clarify whether the Venice buzz and demographic momentum sustain theatrical legs.