**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 release of the Colleen Hoover adaptation “Verity” has anchored trader sentiment around the mid-20s to low-30s million dollar range.** The R-rated psychological erotic thriller, directed by Michael Showalter and led by Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, carries a modest $40 million budget and benefits from strong brand recognition among CoHo readers following the $50 million opening of “It Ends With Us.” Early forecasts from Boxoffice Pro and industry trackers pointed to $30–40 million, yet the market’s tight clustering—led by the 25–28 million bin at 34.5%—reflects caution over same-weekend competition from “Digger,” the R rating’s narrower appeal compared with prior PG-13 CoHo films, and typical late-September volatility in audience awareness. Historical comps such as “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid” support the tempered consensus, while upcoming final tracking reports and any late buzz shifts remain the key swing factors before the three-day debut locks in.