Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his established fundraising edge with over $3 million in cash on hand, and a July poll showing him ahead by double digits. The mid-Hudson Valley seat carries a modest Democratic lean and features an uncontested path for both candidates through the June primaries. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a political newcomer, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout could still narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$42,898 Vol.
$42,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
7%
$42,898 Vol.
$42,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
$33,521 Vol.
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
$9,377 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his established fundraising edge with over $3 million in cash on hand, and a July poll showing him ahead by double digits. The mid-Hudson Valley seat carries a modest Democratic lean and features an uncontested path for both candidates through the June primaries. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a political newcomer, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$42,898Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his established fundraising edge with over $3 million in cash on hand, and a July poll showing him ahead by double digits. The mid-Hudson Valley seat carries a modest Democratic lean and features an uncontested path for both candidates through the June primaries. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a political newcomer, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,898Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his established fundraising edge with over $3 million in cash on hand, and a July poll showing him ahead by double digits. The mid-Hudson Valley seat carries a modest Democratic lean and features an uncontested path for both candidates through the June primaries. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a political newcomer, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout could still narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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