Redistricting by Texas lawmakers transformed the 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan lean dramatically rightward and prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. This structural change sets the baseline for trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Alex Mealer at 92.5 percent. Mealer secured the GOP nomination after defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May runoff, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial fundraising, and outside spending from aligned groups. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez advanced from her primary but faces a steep path in a district analysts rate as noncompetitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly redrawn Texas seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$21,788 Vol.
$21,788 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alex Mealer (R)
92%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
8%
$21,788 Vol.
$21,788 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alex Mealer (R)
$15,839 Vol.
92%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
$5,949 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas lawmakers transformed the 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan lean dramatically rightward and prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. This structural change sets the baseline for trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Alex Mealer at 92.5 percent. Mealer secured the GOP nomination after defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May runoff, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial fundraising, and outside spending from aligned groups. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez advanced from her primary but faces a steep path in a district analysts rate as noncompetitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly redrawn Texas seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$21,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas lawmakers transformed the 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan lean dramatically rightward and prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. This structural change sets the baseline for trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Alex Mealer at 92.5 percent. Mealer secured the GOP nomination after defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May runoff, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial fundraising, and outside spending from aligned groups. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez advanced from her primary but faces a steep path in a district analysts rate as noncompetitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly redrawn Texas seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Texas lawmakers transformed the 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan lean dramatically rightward and prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. This structural change sets the baseline for trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Alex Mealer at 92.5 percent. Mealer secured the GOP nomination after defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May runoff, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial fundraising, and outside spending from aligned groups. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez advanced from her primary but faces a steep path in a district analysts rate as noncompetitive. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly redrawn Texas seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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