Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polling aggregates show El-Sayed with a modest 2-point edge among likely voters, though a late August-early September Glengariff Group survey placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 45.8% for Rogers and 44.4% for El-Sayed, with independents splitting sharply. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan’s battleground dynamics, voter polarization, and the impact of national midterm turnout on this key Senate contest. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects these tight fundamentals and the roughly 60-day window to Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$677,852 Vol.
$677,852 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$677,852 Vol.
$677,852 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$371,051 Vol.
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
$306,801 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polling aggregates show El-Sayed with a modest 2-point edge among likely voters, though a late August-early September Glengariff Group survey placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 45.8% for Rogers and 44.4% for El-Sayed, with independents splitting sharply. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan’s battleground dynamics, voter polarization, and the impact of national midterm turnout on this key Senate contest. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects these tight fundamentals and the roughly 60-day window to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$677,852Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polling aggregates show El-Sayed with a modest 2-point edge among likely voters, though a late August-early September Glengariff Group survey placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 45.8% for Rogers and 44.4% for El-Sayed, with independents splitting sharply. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan’s battleground dynamics, voter polarization, and the impact of national midterm turnout on this key Senate contest. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects these tight fundamentals and the roughly 60-day window to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$677,852Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polling aggregates show El-Sayed with a modest 2-point edge among likely voters, though a late August-early September Glengariff Group survey placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 45.8% for Rogers and 44.4% for El-Sayed, with independents splitting sharply. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan’s battleground dynamics, voter polarization, and the impact of national midterm turnout on this key Senate contest. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects these tight fundamentals and the roughly 60-day window to Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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