Anthropic launched Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with notable gains in tool use, reasoning, coding, and autonomous task handling that closed much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost. This followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months, aligning with the lab’s pattern of frequent incremental updates across the Sonnet line. Since then, Anthropic has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, keeping competitive pressure high against OpenAI and Google releases while emphasizing agentic capabilities and safety evaluations. Traders watch for official announcements, API availability, or system-card updates that would signal the next Sonnet iteration, with historical cadence suggesting a late-2026 or early-2027 window unless major competitive or regulatory shifts intervene.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
$15,346 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
22%
October 31
90%
December 31
97%
$15,346 Vol.
September 30
$910 Vol.
22%
October 31
$6,941 Vol.
90%
December 31
$3,757 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic launched Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with notable gains in tool use, reasoning, coding, and autonomous task handling that closed much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost. This followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months, aligning with the lab’s pattern of frequent incremental updates across the Sonnet line. Since then, Anthropic has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, keeping competitive pressure high against OpenAI and Google releases while emphasizing agentic capabilities and safety evaluations. Traders watch for official announcements, API availability, or system-card updates that would signal the next Sonnet iteration, with historical cadence suggesting a late-2026 or early-2027 window unless major competitive or regulatory shifts intervene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volume
$15,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic launched Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with notable gains in tool use, reasoning, coding, and autonomous task handling that closed much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost. This followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months, aligning with the lab’s pattern of frequent incremental updates across the Sonnet line. Since then, Anthropic has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, keeping competitive pressure high against OpenAI and Google releases while emphasizing agentic capabilities and safety evaluations. Traders watch for official announcements, API availability, or system-card updates that would signal the next Sonnet iteration, with historical cadence suggesting a late-2026 or early-2027 window unless major competitive or regulatory shifts intervene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic launched Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with notable gains in tool use, reasoning, coding, and autonomous task handling that closed much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost. This followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months, aligning with the lab’s pattern of frequent incremental updates across the Sonnet line. Since then, Anthropic has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, keeping competitive pressure high against OpenAI and Google releases while emphasizing agentic capabilities and safety evaluations. Traders watch for official announcements, API availability, or system-card updates that would signal the next Sonnet iteration, with historical cadence suggesting a late-2026 or early-2027 window unless major competitive or regulatory shifts intervene.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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