Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat, with traders assigning her a 91.5% implied probability of victory. Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican Senate win since 2002, underpins this positioning, reinforced by Flanagan's August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and her alignment with the state's progressive and union base. Recent polling aggregates show her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely Democratic. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated statewide races. Potential shifts could arise from national political currents, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments on issues such as the economy or immigration that alter the current narrow polling margin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$19,025 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat, with traders assigning her a 91.5% implied probability of victory. Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican Senate win since 2002, underpins this positioning, reinforced by Flanagan's August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and her alignment with the state's progressive and union base. Recent polling aggregates show her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely Democratic. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated statewide races. Potential shifts could arise from national political currents, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments on issues such as the economy or immigration that alter the current narrow polling margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$69,074Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat, with traders assigning her a 91.5% implied probability of victory. Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican Senate win since 2002, underpins this positioning, reinforced by Flanagan's August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and her alignment with the state's progressive and union base. Recent polling aggregates show her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely Democratic. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated statewide races. Potential shifts could arise from national political currents, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments on issues such as the economy or immigration that alter the current narrow polling margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$69,074Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat, with traders assigning her a 91.5% implied probability of victory. Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican Senate win since 2002, underpins this positioning, reinforced by Flanagan's August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and her alignment with the state's progressive and union base. Recent polling aggregates show her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely Democratic. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated statewide races. Potential shifts could arise from national political currents, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments on issues such as the economy or immigration that alter the current narrow polling margin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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