**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly eight seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** This reflects a stable but pressured Sephardi Haredi and traditional Mizrahi voter base amid competition from Otzma Yehudit on the right and the broader right-wing bloc’s projected shortfall below 61 seats. Ongoing debates over Haredi military draft exemptions have strained coalition dynamics and contributed to modest seat erosion from prior levels near 11, while Shas’s finalized candidate list—retaining Aryeh Deri at the top with limited adjustments—has not produced major polling shifts in the final month. The 6-7 and 10-11 ranges capture typical poll variance and potential turnout or surplus-agreement effects, with lower or higher outcomes remaining less likely absent late developments in bloc negotiations or Haredi participation rates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update8-9 40%
10-11 17%
6-7 16%
12+ 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6
7%
6-7
22%
8-9
40%
10-11
20%
12+
12%
8-9 40%
10-11 17%
6-7 16%
12+ 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$564 Vol.
7%
6-7
$1,412 Vol.
22%
8-9
$979 Vol.
40%
10-11
$750 Vol.
20%
12+
$1,690 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly eight seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** This reflects a stable but pressured Sephardi Haredi and traditional Mizrahi voter base amid competition from Otzma Yehudit on the right and the broader right-wing bloc’s projected shortfall below 61 seats. Ongoing debates over Haredi military draft exemptions have strained coalition dynamics and contributed to modest seat erosion from prior levels near 11, while Shas’s finalized candidate list—retaining Aryeh Deri at the top with limited adjustments—has not produced major polling shifts in the final month. The 6-7 and 10-11 ranges capture typical poll variance and potential turnout or surplus-agreement effects, with lower or higher outcomes remaining less likely absent late developments in bloc negotiations or Haredi participation rates.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$5,395Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly eight seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** This reflects a stable but pressured Sephardi Haredi and traditional Mizrahi voter base amid competition from Otzma Yehudit on the right and the broader right-wing bloc’s projected shortfall below 61 seats. Ongoing debates over Haredi military draft exemptions have strained coalition dynamics and contributed to modest seat erosion from prior levels near 11, while Shas’s finalized candidate list—retaining Aryeh Deri at the top with limited adjustments—has not produced major polling shifts in the final month. The 6-7 and 10-11 ranges capture typical poll variance and potential turnout or surplus-agreement effects, with lower or higher outcomes remaining less likely absent late developments in bloc negotiations or Haredi participation rates.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$5,395Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly eight seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** This reflects a stable but pressured Sephardi Haredi and traditional Mizrahi voter base amid competition from Otzma Yehudit on the right and the broader right-wing bloc’s projected shortfall below 61 seats. Ongoing debates over Haredi military draft exemptions have strained coalition dynamics and contributed to modest seat erosion from prior levels near 11, while Shas’s finalized candidate list—retaining Aryeh Deri at the top with limited adjustments—has not produced major polling shifts in the final month. The 6-7 and 10-11 ranges capture typical poll variance and potential turnout or surplus-agreement effects, with lower or higher outcomes remaining less likely absent late developments in bloc negotiations or Haredi participation rates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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