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Politika·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politika·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Sagal Abdi-Wali 68%

Zack Polanski 29%

Hamza Chowdhury 2.9%

Sarah Hayward 1.1%

Polymarket

$25,195 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 68%

Zack Polanski 29%

Hamza Chowdhury 2.9%

Sarah Hayward 1.1%

Polymarket

$25,195 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$6,954 Vol.

68%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$6,642 Vol.

29%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$308 Vol.

3%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$226 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$2,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$496 Vol.

<1%

icon for James White

James White

$508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$472 Vol.

<1%

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Lorna Jane Russell

$483 Vol.

<1%

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David Stansell

$314 Vol.

<1%

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Jim Monahan

$495 Vol.

<1%

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Siân Berry

$448 Vol.

<1%

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Charlie Clinton

$505 Vol.

<1%

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Keith Moffitt

$472 Vol.

<1%

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Mehreen Malik

$480 Vol.

<1%

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Oliver Cooper

$455 Vol.

<1%

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David Roberts

$470 Vol.

<1%

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Sarah Pochin

$370 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour’s selection of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali as its candidate on 9 September has reinforced trader consensus that she is the frontrunner to retain the seat in the 8 October by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation. Abdi-Wali, a local councillor since 2022 and council leader since May, brings a strong community profile in a constituency Labour has held continuously since 1983 and where the party led recent local ward results. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader seeking nomination against local challenger Hamza Chowdhury, remains the main alternative at lower implied probability, reflecting Green gains among progressive voters in inner London on housing and related issues. Other named candidates trail far behind, consistent with the seat’s structural Labour lean and limited time for late shifts before nominations close on 15 September.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$25,195
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour’s selection of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali as its candidate on 9 September has reinforced trader consensus that she is the frontrunner to retain the seat in the 8 October by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation. Abdi-Wali, a local councillor since 2022 and council leader since May, brings a strong community profile in a constituency Labour has held continuously since 1983 and where the party led recent local ward results. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader seeking nomination against local challenger Hamza Chowdhury, remains the main alternative at lower implied probability, reflecting Green gains among progressive voters in inner London on housing and related issues. Other named candidates trail far behind, consistent with the seat’s structural Labour lean and limited time for late shifts before nominations close on 15 September.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$25,195
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sagal Abdi-Wali" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Zack Polanski" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $25.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay "Sagal Abdi-Wali" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Zack Polanski" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.