Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 11, supporting the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, producing conditions consistent with mid-September climatology. Nearby Seoul readings align closely, with minimal model spread across guidance. Updated KMA briefings and final hourly observations on the day itself remain the key data points that could shift probabilities among the clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
26°C 49%
25°C 32%
27°C 14%
28°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
14%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 32%
27°C 14%
28°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
14%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 11, supporting the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, producing conditions consistent with mid-September climatology. Nearby Seoul readings align closely, with minimal model spread across guidance. Updated KMA briefings and final hourly observations on the day itself remain the key data points that could shift probabilities among the clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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