Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknolohiya·AI

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknolohiya·AI

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$64,860 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$64,860 Vol.

Polymarket

60%+

$35,947 Vol.

59%

65%+

$16,107 Vol.

30%

70%+

$5,879 Vol.

16%

75%+

$3,571 Vol.

13%

80%+

$1,151 Vol.

7%

90%+

$2,206 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and closely followed by Opus 5 and Mythos 5 in the mid-64% range as of early September 2026. This positions the company ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro near 59%, reflecting strong performance on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The benchmark’s design resists quick saturation, so traders are tracking incremental gains from reasoning-focused updates, tool integration, and new frontier releases expected before year-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google DeepMind could narrow the gap if upcoming models demonstrate better multi-step reasoning or calibration on graduate-level tasks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$64,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and closely followed by Opus 5 and Mythos 5 in the mid-64% range as of early September 2026. This positions the company ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro near 59%, reflecting strong performance on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The benchmark’s design resists quick saturation, so traders are tracking incremental gains from reasoning-focused updates, tool integration, and new frontier releases expected before year-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google DeepMind could narrow the gap if upcoming models demonstrate better multi-step reasoning or calibration on graduate-level tasks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$64,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

icon for Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

84%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

44%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

89%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "60%+" sa 59%, sinusundan ng "65%+" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 59¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $64.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 23, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay "60%+" sa 59%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "65%+" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.