**Guinea-Bissau’s legislative contest remains fragmented amid the post-2025 coup transition and preparations for the December 2026 general elections under a newly approved constitution.** The 2025 vote was annulled after military forces seized power in late November, installing a transitional authority that has since conducted a September 2026 referendum expanding presidential powers, shrinking the assembly to 65 seats, and altering electoral rules. The Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” backed by former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló and including Madem G15 and PRS elements, holds the strongest position among listed contenders, yet faces competition from FREPASNA, PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB in a field of smaller parties with limited prior parliamentary presence. Opposition restrictions, including office relocation orders and boycott dynamics around the referendum, add uncertainty. Traders appear to price in the possibility of shifting alliances, procedural challenges, or further transitional developments before the December vote resolves seat totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 39.9%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 30.9%
PT 10.8%
FLING 4.1%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
20%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
PT
11%
FLING
4%
PS
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 39.9%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 30.9%
PT 10.8%
FLING 4.1%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,786 Vol.
20%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,823 Vol.
31%
PT
$22,046 Vol.
11%
FLING
$13,132 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,296 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).**Guinea-Bissau’s legislative contest remains fragmented amid the post-2025 coup transition and preparations for the December 2026 general elections under a newly approved constitution.** The 2025 vote was annulled after military forces seized power in late November, installing a transitional authority that has since conducted a September 2026 referendum expanding presidential powers, shrinking the assembly to 65 seats, and altering electoral rules. The Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” backed by former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló and including Madem G15 and PRS elements, holds the strongest position among listed contenders, yet faces competition from FREPASNA, PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB in a field of smaller parties with limited prior parliamentary presence. Opposition restrictions, including office relocation orders and boycott dynamics around the referendum, add uncertainty. Traders appear to price in the possibility of shifting alliances, procedural challenges, or further transitional developments before the December vote resolves seat totals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$159,968Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).**Guinea-Bissau’s legislative contest remains fragmented amid the post-2025 coup transition and preparations for the December 2026 general elections under a newly approved constitution.** The 2025 vote was annulled after military forces seized power in late November, installing a transitional authority that has since conducted a September 2026 referendum expanding presidential powers, shrinking the assembly to 65 seats, and altering electoral rules. The Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” backed by former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló and including Madem G15 and PRS elements, holds the strongest position among listed contenders, yet faces competition from FREPASNA, PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB in a field of smaller parties with limited prior parliamentary presence. Opposition restrictions, including office relocation orders and boycott dynamics around the referendum, add uncertainty. Traders appear to price in the possibility of shifting alliances, procedural challenges, or further transitional developments before the December vote resolves seat totals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,968Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Guinea-Bissau’s legislative contest remains fragmented amid the post-2025 coup transition and preparations for the December 2026 general elections under a newly approved constitution.** The 2025 vote was annulled after military forces seized power in late November, installing a transitional authority that has since conducted a September 2026 referendum expanding presidential powers, shrinking the assembly to 65 seats, and altering electoral rules. The Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” backed by former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló and including Madem G15 and PRS elements, holds the strongest position among listed contenders, yet faces competition from FREPASNA, PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB in a field of smaller parties with limited prior parliamentary presence. Opposition restrictions, including office relocation orders and boycott dynamics around the referendum, add uncertainty. Traders appear to price in the possibility of shifting alliances, procedural challenges, or further transitional developments before the December vote resolves seat totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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