Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Clarence Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Clarence Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Clarence Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Clarence Mayoral Election Winner

Brendan Blomeley 61%

Tony Mulder 12.0%

Drew Jenner 11%

Dean Young 10.0%

Polymarket
BAGO

Brendan Blomeley 61%

Tony Mulder 12.0%

Drew Jenner 11%

Dean Young 10.0%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Brendan Blomeley

Brendan Blomeley

$3,438 Vol.

61%

icon for Tony Mulder

Tony Mulder

$4,175 Vol.

12%

icon for Drew Jenner

Drew Jenner

$338 Vol.

11%

icon for Dean Young

Dean Young

$257 Vol.

10%

icon for James Walker

James Walker

$129 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Brendan Blomeley holds the strongest position in the Clarence mayoral race as the incumbent independent seeking a second term in the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections.** His confirmed re-election bid in early 2026, combined with a record of delivering projects such as expanded Derwent River ferry services and eastern shore youth mental health initiatives, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 61% price. Other named candidates, including former rival Tony Mulder and lower-priced options like Dean Young, Drew Jenner, and James Walker, trail significantly, consistent with historical patterns favoring sitting mayors in Australian local contests absent major shifts. A June 2026 anonymous petition calling for his resignation drew limited traction and was publicly dismissed, with no subsequent verified developments altering the competitive landscape in the final weeks before voting. The broad field of independents and the preferential voting system typical in Tasmanian council races introduce some uncertainty, yet current pricing indicates limited momentum for challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Brendan Blomeley holds the strongest position in the Clarence mayoral race as the incumbent independent seeking a second term in the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections.** His confirmed re-election bid in early 2026, combined with a record of delivering projects such as expanded Derwent River ferry services and eastern shore youth mental health initiatives, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 61% price. Other named candidates, including former rival Tony Mulder and lower-priced options like Dean Young, Drew Jenner, and James Walker, trail significantly, consistent with historical patterns favoring sitting mayors in Australian local contests absent major shifts. A June 2026 anonymous petition calling for his resignation drew limited traction and was publicly dismissed, with no subsequent verified developments altering the competitive landscape in the final weeks before voting. The broad field of independents and the preferential voting system typical in Tasmanian council races introduce some uncertainty, yet current pricing indicates limited momentum for challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

58%
icon for Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?

Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?

36%
icon for Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?

Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?

48%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Clarence Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Brendan Blomeley" sa 61%, sinusundan ng "Tony Mulder" sa 12%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 61¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Clarence Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Clarence Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Clarence Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Brendan Blomeley" sa 61%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tony Mulder" sa 12%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Clarence Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.