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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
BAGO

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$2,305 Vol.

39%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$1,388 Vol.

19%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$1,066 Vol.

16%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$1,315 Vol.

10%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$309 Vol.

9%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$1,057 Vol.

2%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$286 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor race, following incumbent Anna Reynolds’s June 2026 decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government elections. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation, with John Kelly at 38.5% after his early September entry and others such as Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, and Marti Zucco clustered lower, underscoring the absence of a clear frontrunner. Candidates share overlapping emphases on transport infrastructure, financial governance, and sustainable growth, while the single transferable vote system amplifies the role of preference flows among similar profiles. Limited public polling since mid-year and the short campaign window following September nominations have kept probabilities compressed, with further candidate statements, media scrutiny, or preference deals likely to produce clearer separation before postal voting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor race, following incumbent Anna Reynolds’s June 2026 decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government elections. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation, with John Kelly at 38.5% after his early September entry and others such as Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, and Marti Zucco clustered lower, underscoring the absence of a clear frontrunner. Candidates share overlapping emphases on transport infrastructure, financial governance, and sustainable growth, while the single transferable vote system amplifies the role of preference flows among similar profiles. Limited public polling since mid-year and the short campaign window following September nominations have kept probabilities compressed, with further candidate statements, media scrutiny, or preference deals likely to produce clearer separation before postal voting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "John Kelly" sa 39%, sinusundan ng "Ryan Posselt" sa 19%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 39¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay "John Kelly" sa 39%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ryan Posselt" sa 19%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.