The 95% trader consensus against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan political resistance tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving clemency as her primary remaining option, yet the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in 2026 opposing any form of executive relief for her crimes involving the sexual exploitation of minors. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, and Trump has repeatedly described the matter as one he has not actively considered while noting he would consult the DOJ if approached. These factors, combined with the reputational risks of associating the administration with the Epstein case, have kept probabilities low despite public advocacy from Maxwell’s counsel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
5% โอกาส
$748,309 ปริมาณ
$748,309 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
รับ 3.25%
ใช่
5% โอกาส
$748,309 ปริมาณ
$748,309 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
รับ 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 95% trader consensus against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan political resistance tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving clemency as her primary remaining option, yet the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in 2026 opposing any form of executive relief for her crimes involving the sexual exploitation of minors. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, and Trump has repeatedly described the matter as one he has not actively considered while noting he would consult the DOJ if approached. These factors, combined with the reputational risks of associating the administration with the Epstein case, have kept probabilities low despite public advocacy from Maxwell’s counsel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$748,309วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 95% trader consensus against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan political resistance tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving clemency as her primary remaining option, yet the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in 2026 opposing any form of executive relief for her crimes involving the sexual exploitation of minors. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, and Trump has repeatedly described the matter as one he has not actively considered while noting he would consult the DOJ if approached. These factors, combined with the reputational risks of associating the administration with the Epstein case, have kept probabilities low despite public advocacy from Maxwell’s counsel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$748,309วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...The 95% trader consensus against a Trump pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan political resistance tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving clemency as her primary remaining option, yet the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in 2026 opposing any form of executive relief for her crimes involving the sexual exploitation of minors. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, and Trump has repeatedly described the matter as one he has not actively considered while noting he would consult the DOJ if approached. These factors, combined with the reputational risks of associating the administration with the Epstein case, have kept probabilities low despite public advocacy from Maxwell’s counsel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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