Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms serves as the primary driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding the majority, articles of impeachment introduced in 2026 by members including Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar have not advanced to a floor vote. Prediction markets price Democratic House prospects near 85%, and Democratic leaders such as Reps. Hakeem Jeffries and Jamie Raskin have stated they have not ruled out impeachment proceedings if the majority flips. Historical midterm patterns and recent polling showing Trump's approval near 35-40% reinforce trader expectations that a new House majority would prioritize articles of impeachment, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว69% โอกาส
$102,071 ปริมาณ
$102,071 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2029
รับ 3.25%
69% โอกาส
$102,071 ปริมาณ
$102,071 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2029
รับ 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms serves as the primary driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding the majority, articles of impeachment introduced in 2026 by members including Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar have not advanced to a floor vote. Prediction markets price Democratic House prospects near 85%, and Democratic leaders such as Reps. Hakeem Jeffries and Jamie Raskin have stated they have not ruled out impeachment proceedings if the majority flips. Historical midterm patterns and recent polling showing Trump's approval near 35-40% reinforce trader expectations that a new House majority would prioritize articles of impeachment, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,071วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms serves as the primary driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding the majority, articles of impeachment introduced in 2026 by members including Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar have not advanced to a floor vote. Prediction markets price Democratic House prospects near 85%, and Democratic leaders such as Reps. Hakeem Jeffries and Jamie Raskin have stated they have not ruled out impeachment proceedings if the majority flips. Historical midterm patterns and recent polling showing Trump's approval near 35-40% reinforce trader expectations that a new House majority would prioritize articles of impeachment, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,071วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms serves as the primary driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding the majority, articles of impeachment introduced in 2026 by members including Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar have not advanced to a floor vote. Prediction markets price Democratic House prospects near 85%, and Democratic leaders such as Reps. Hakeem Jeffries and Jamie Raskin have stated they have not ruled out impeachment proceedings if the majority flips. Historical midterm patterns and recent polling showing Trump's approval near 35-40% reinforce trader expectations that a new House majority would prioritize articles of impeachment, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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