The G7's sustained exclusion of Russia since 2014, driven by its actions in Ukraine and reinforced at the June 2026 summit through commitments to bolster Ukrainian defenses and intensify energy sanctions, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against rejoining before 2027. Other members have consistently rejected readmission without verifiable Russian concessions on territorial integrity and security arrangements, while Moscow has signaled limited interest in the format. With only months remaining, this timeline amplifies the barriers. A rapid, comprehensive Ukraine settlement endorsed by all G7 leaders could theoretically shift dynamics, though current diplomatic positions and Putin's recent statements make such an outcome improbable within the window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2% โอกาส
$53,550 ปริมาณ
$53,550 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
2% โอกาส
$53,550 ปริมาณ
$53,550 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The G7's sustained exclusion of Russia since 2014, driven by its actions in Ukraine and reinforced at the June 2026 summit through commitments to bolster Ukrainian defenses and intensify energy sanctions, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against rejoining before 2027. Other members have consistently rejected readmission without verifiable Russian concessions on territorial integrity and security arrangements, while Moscow has signaled limited interest in the format. With only months remaining, this timeline amplifies the barriers. A rapid, comprehensive Ukraine settlement endorsed by all G7 leaders could theoretically shift dynamics, though current diplomatic positions and Putin's recent statements make such an outcome improbable within the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,550วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The G7's sustained exclusion of Russia since 2014, driven by its actions in Ukraine and reinforced at the June 2026 summit through commitments to bolster Ukrainian defenses and intensify energy sanctions, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against rejoining before 2027. Other members have consistently rejected readmission without verifiable Russian concessions on territorial integrity and security arrangements, while Moscow has signaled limited interest in the format. With only months remaining, this timeline amplifies the barriers. A rapid, comprehensive Ukraine settlement endorsed by all G7 leaders could theoretically shift dynamics, though current diplomatic positions and Putin's recent statements make such an outcome improbable within the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,550วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The G7's sustained exclusion of Russia since 2014, driven by its actions in Ukraine and reinforced at the June 2026 summit through commitments to bolster Ukrainian defenses and intensify energy sanctions, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against rejoining before 2027. Other members have consistently rejected readmission without verifiable Russian concessions on territorial integrity and security arrangements, while Moscow has signaled limited interest in the format. With only months remaining, this timeline amplifies the barriers. A rapid, comprehensive Ukraine settlement endorsed by all G7 leaders could theoretically shift dynamics, though current diplomatic positions and Putin's recent statements make such an outcome improbable within the window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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