OpenAI’s heavy focus on core large language model releases, ChatGPT feature updates, and IPO preparations has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 social network launch, with the “No” side at 94.5% implied probability. Early 2025 reports described only an internal prototype social feed tied to image generation, while the later Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform—was discontinued by March 2026 amid moderation and content issues. The biometric “humans-only” concept remains in very early development by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or integration roadmap. Traders view limited engineering bandwidth and competitive headwinds from established platforms as decisive barriers, though an accelerated pivot or surprise ChatGPT integration could still shift outcomes before December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$63,732 ปริมาณ
$63,732 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
$63,732 ปริมาณ
$63,732 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s heavy focus on core large language model releases, ChatGPT feature updates, and IPO preparations has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 social network launch, with the “No” side at 94.5% implied probability. Early 2025 reports described only an internal prototype social feed tied to image generation, while the later Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform—was discontinued by March 2026 amid moderation and content issues. The biometric “humans-only” concept remains in very early development by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or integration roadmap. Traders view limited engineering bandwidth and competitive headwinds from established platforms as decisive barriers, though an accelerated pivot or surprise ChatGPT integration could still shift outcomes before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,732วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s heavy focus on core large language model releases, ChatGPT feature updates, and IPO preparations has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 social network launch, with the “No” side at 94.5% implied probability. Early 2025 reports described only an internal prototype social feed tied to image generation, while the later Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform—was discontinued by March 2026 amid moderation and content issues. The biometric “humans-only” concept remains in very early development by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or integration roadmap. Traders view limited engineering bandwidth and competitive headwinds from established platforms as decisive barriers, though an accelerated pivot or surprise ChatGPT integration could still shift outcomes before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,732วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s heavy focus on core large language model releases, ChatGPT feature updates, and IPO preparations has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 social network launch, with the “No” side at 94.5% implied probability. Early 2025 reports described only an internal prototype social feed tied to image generation, while the later Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform—was discontinued by March 2026 amid moderation and content issues. The biometric “humans-only” concept remains in very early development by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or integration roadmap. Traders view limited engineering bandwidth and competitive headwinds from established platforms as decisive barriers, though an accelerated pivot or surprise ChatGPT integration could still shift outcomes before December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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