Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8-10 39%
5-7 38%
11-13 13%
<5 7.5%
<5
8%
5-7
38%
8-10
39%
11-13
13%
14+
3%
8-10 39%
5-7 38%
11-13 13%
<5 7.5%
<5
8%
5-7
38%
8-10
39%
11-13
13%
14+
3%
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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