Apple's consistent annual release cadence for new iPhone models drives the 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered updated hardware each September for over a decade, incorporating iterative advances in chips, cameras, and on-device AI features without major calendar slips. Recent supply chain stabilization and ongoing development of next-generation components reinforce trader confidence in the timeline. While extreme events like severe component shortages, unexpected regulatory blocks in major markets, or critical technical setbacks could theoretically delay a full global rollout, such outcomes remain highly improbable given Apple's execution history and the proximity to typical announcement windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว>99% โอกาส
$235,385 ปริมาณ
$235,385 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
>99% โอกาส
$235,385 ปริมาณ
$235,385 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for new iPhone models drives the 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered updated hardware each September for over a decade, incorporating iterative advances in chips, cameras, and on-device AI features without major calendar slips. Recent supply chain stabilization and ongoing development of next-generation components reinforce trader confidence in the timeline. While extreme events like severe component shortages, unexpected regulatory blocks in major markets, or critical technical setbacks could theoretically delay a full global rollout, such outcomes remain highly improbable given Apple's execution history and the proximity to typical announcement windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,385วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for new iPhone models drives the 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered updated hardware each September for over a decade, incorporating iterative advances in chips, cameras, and on-device AI features without major calendar slips. Recent supply chain stabilization and ongoing development of next-generation components reinforce trader confidence in the timeline. While extreme events like severe component shortages, unexpected regulatory blocks in major markets, or critical technical setbacks could theoretically delay a full global rollout, such outcomes remain highly improbable given Apple's execution history and the proximity to typical announcement windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,385วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual release cadence for new iPhone models drives the 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered updated hardware each September for over a decade, incorporating iterative advances in chips, cameras, and on-device AI features without major calendar slips. Recent supply chain stabilization and ongoing development of next-generation components reinforce trader confidence in the timeline. While extreme events like severe component shortages, unexpected regulatory blocks in major markets, or critical technical setbacks could theoretically delay a full global rollout, such outcomes remain highly improbable given Apple's execution history and the proximity to typical announcement windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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